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Fnatic vs Rogue – LEC 2022 Spring Playoffs Preview

LEC Spring Playoffs 2022 are finally underway! Now that the first round of matches has finished, it’s time to analyze the series between Fnatic and Rogue!

Who will advance to the finals and who will go to the losers’ bracket? Without further ado, let’s jump into our LEC Preview.

Fnatic vs Rogue Matchup Breakdown

Fnatic won the series against G2 Esports, as the eternal rivalry between them ended in a 3-1 score. They seem to have found a good playstyle that suits them nicely, as they have basically played similar setups in playoffs so far.

Upset and Humanoid are the two core carries in the team, with both Razork and Hylissang moving across the two lanes to help them out generate leads on the map. Top laner Wunder is defaulting to a weakside playstyle, main playing tanks that can survive possible dives in the early mid game.

As the game progresses, Upset will become more and more the super carry to win the teamfights. By playing kite back champions, he can easily bait enemies into him while Humanoid looks to finish off the potential threats on the enemy team. This worked well against G2, but will they play like this also against Rogue, who also plays in that way?

Rogue quickly took down Misfits Gaming in a 3-1 series. The Playoffs curse seems to have been broken, as Rogue dominated Misfits, showing that they are the favorites coming into the match. The team can play in many different ways, utilizing the pocket picks of the players to gain draft edges. Odoamne has pulled out both Rumble and Jayce, showing that he’s still one of the best top laners in the LEC.

What makes Rogue so scary is their flexibility in draft. Odoamne is not the only one who can play champions with very different playstyles. Larssen played both ADCs (Lucian and Kai’Sa) and mages (Azir and Orianna), Trymbi played enchanters and engagers. Comp also played different ADCs, depending on the playstyle required. The only one who has maintained a constant playstyle is Malrang, who however has destroyed Misfits with his early game presence and teamfighting. An 81% KP in the series against Misfits goes to show how impactful he was in the series.

With all of this being said, let’s try to analyze more in-depth how the Fnatic and Rogue will likely perform in this LEC Spring Playoffs series.


Fnatic VS Rogue Series Predictions

Fnatic and Rogue seem to have found the recipe that is best in the current meta. Both teams rely on the support and jungle roams and movements to create pressure on the lanes and objectives, with the mid lane moving as well when needed. ADC mainly stays bot to get the resources and scale. The top lane can be both absorb pressure or create it, depending on who has the favorable matchup.

What mainly differs across the two teams is which lane to play around. Rogue has played mainly through mid and partially top, while Fnatic played for mid first and then bot. It will be interesting to see whether one of the two will want to play their own game or try to neutralize the enemies’ gameplan.

Nonetheless, jungler and support will have the most impact in the game. Gaining leads in the current is extremely important, especially if you can abuse the gold lead to push your team forward. While I think the players are on similar levels, Rogue’s flexibility shown in the last series is what makes me favor them this time around.

Fnatic are extremely strong at playing their own game, but they will have to be in their best form in order to fight the Rogue we have seen so far. It will be a close series for sure, but it might be either a 3-1 or 3-2 for Rogue. Aside from the bot lane, I think that Rogue has the better players in the other 3 roles. If they play as they did against Misfits, Rogue should be able to take this one home. Below you can check out the best odds for the series, offered by GG.BET:

  • Winner: Rogue (1.81x)
  • Total Maps: over 3.5 (1.3x)
  • Correct Map Score: Rogue 3-1 (4.37x)
  • First Blood: Rogue (1.84x)
  • First Dragon: Fnatic (1.72x)
  • Total Towers: Under 13.5 (1.56x)
  • Map Duration: over 33.5 (1.85x)
  • First Herald: Rogue (1.86x)
  • Match Total Kills: under 118.5 (1.62x)
  • First Tower: Fnatic (1.92x)

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